5/14/2019

IMF : ''HARVARD PROFESSOR GITA GOPINATH''


ON October 1st, 2018, IMF announced that Gita Gopinath, a professor at Harvard University, will soon replace Maurice Obstfeld as its top economist.

THE International Monetary Fund [IMF] used to be known for its unwavering advocacy of the  ''Washington consensus'', a set of free-market policies including free capital flows and fiscal consolidation.

Nowadays, it is a little more introspective - or, perhaps, open-minded.

Professor Gita Gopinath's appointment puts another pillar of orthodoxy - regarding the benefits of  flexible exchange rates - on notice.

Born in India, Professor Gopinath studied for her doctorate at Princeton under Kenneth Rogoff, a former occupant of her new job, and Ben Bernanke, who later led the Federal Reserve during the financial crisis.

From there she moved to the University of Chicago, and on to Harvard, where she has produced prodigious amount of research.

Most famous is her work on currency movements .

One reason countries have flexible exchange rates is to cushion their economies from external shocks.

A country whose currency is falling should see its terms of trade - the cost f its export relative to imports - fall, encouraging foreigners to buy its goods and keep its economy healthy.

Professor Gopinath's work questions that assumption.

Because so much trade is invoiced in dollars, she argues, foreigners might find that their troubled neighbors's goods are no cheaper unless their own currency has moved against the dollar.

In this ''dominant currency paradigm'' the strength of the greenback drives trade flows and prices. Floating currencies therefore provide less of a cushion.

The IMF role is not Professor Gopinath's first foray into public policy. For example, in the past she advised the Chief Minister of Kerala, a state in India.

In her present role, she is overseeing the fund's twice-yearly economic forecasts. She is responsible for ensuring that the fund's thinking is based on ''solid theoretical and empirical grounds,'' says Olivier Blanchard, another of her predecessors.

Her research suggests that she may have a fresh perspective,on what does, and does not, meet that  threshold.

And she is distinctive in another way - she will be the first woman to hold the job.

The World Students Society thanks The Economist.

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